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Poll Shows Arizona Voters Back Legal Marijuana Measure As Officials Verify Signatures

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As Arizona officials move forward with verifying recently submitted signatures for a proposed marijuana legalization ballot initiative, a new poll shows that the state’s voters overwhelmingly support the reform.

In a survey of likely voters released on Tuesday, more than six-in-ten (62 percent) said they support legalizing cannabis, while 32 percent were opposed.

The campaign behind the proposed initiative, Smart and Safe Arizona, turned in roughly 420,000 signatures in support of the measure earlier this month.

On Monday evening, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs provided an update on efforts to verify those petitions.

“After review, 415,587 petition signatures were determined to be eligible for random sampling and County Recorder verification,” Hobbs tweeted. “20,780 petition signatures have been sent to counties for verification. If at least 11,882 signatures are validated, the initiative will qualify for the ballot.”

County officials now have until August 7 to validate the submissions sent to them by the state.

The new survey, conducted by OH Predictive Insights on July 6 and 7, asked 600 respondents if they “believe that marijuana should be legalized for adult use in the State of Arizona.”

Democrats back legalization by a 58-point margin (75 percent to 17 percent) and Independents by a 46-point margin (70 percent to 24 percent), but Republicans oppose the reform, 52 percent to 44 percent.

The poll found that support across the state and among many demographic groups has grown considerably since the last time the firm asked about the topic of legalizing cannabis in December.

Via OH Predictive Insights.

It also revealed that urban, suburban and rural voters all support ending marijuana prohibition at roughly the same rate.

Via OH Predictive Insights.

A 2016 legalization proposal was rejected by Arizona voters. But in the four years since, more states have opted to legalize and public opinion has continued to shift in favor of reform.

“Four years ago, marijuana legalization nearly came to fruition,” Mike Noble, chief of research at OH Predictive Insights, said in a press release. “And less than four months before Election Day, Arizona is on the cusp of allowing the adults to use recreational pot.”

“Unlike 2016, no credible group has raised significant money to oppose the marijuana legalization and that could be the biggest difference in 2020,” Noble said, referring to the well-funded opposition campaign backed by interests including the pharmaceutical industry that helped to defeat the proposed reform four years ago.

A separate poll released by a different firm last month described the specifics of the Smart and Safe Arizona measure and found that about two-thirds (65.5 percent) of likely voters said they would support it.

Under the measure, adults could possess up to an ounce of marijuana at a time and cultivate up to six plants for personal use.

The initiative also contains several restorative justice provisions such as allowing individuals with prior marijuana convictions to petition the courts for expungements and establishing a social equity ownership program

Cannabis sales would be taxed at 16 percent. Tax revenue would cover implementation costs and then would be divided among funds for community colleges, infrastructure, a justice reinvestment and public services such as police and firefighters.

The Department of Health Services would be responsible for regulating the program and issuing cannabis business licenses. It would also be tasked with deciding on whether to expand the program to allow for delivery services.

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Tom Angell is the editor of Marijuana Moment. A 20-year veteran in the cannabis law reform movement, he covers the policy and politics of marijuana. Separately, he founded the nonprofit Marijuana Majority. Previously he reported for Marijuana.com and MassRoots, and handled media relations and campaigns for Law Enforcement Against Prohibition and Students for Sensible Drug Policy.

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